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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Coliseum Alfonso Perez
Athletic Bilbao logo

Getafe
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

FT(HT: 0-1)
Williams (27', 51')
Paredes (72')
Alvarez (58'), Valverde (59'), Paredes (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Getafe
Saturday, April 27 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Getafe 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

This fixture produces draws, plenty of them. On paper, Athletic are the favourites, but Getafe have been strong at home this season, while Athletic are inconsistent on their travels. It would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away win, but we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 29.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.38%) and 1-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
GetafeDrawAthletic Bilbao
29.08% (0.107 0.11) 29.29% (0.867 0.87) 41.63% (-0.975 -0.98)
Both teams to score 42.7% (-2.193 -2.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.19% (-2.752 -2.75)63.8% (2.752 2.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.95% (-2.014 -2.01)83.05% (2.013 2.01)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (-1.439 -1.44)38.76% (1.438 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.51% (-1.391 -1.39)75.49% (1.391 1.39)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-1.897 -1.9)30.27% (1.898 1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-2.329 -2.33)66.44% (2.329 2.33)
Score Analysis
    Getafe 29.07%
    Athletic Bilbao 41.63%
    Draw 29.28%
GetafeDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.68 0.68)
2-1 @ 6.3% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.67% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 29.07%
1-1 @ 13.28% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 11.73% (1.15 1.15)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.319 -0.32)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.28%
0-1 @ 14.02% (0.69 0.69)
0-2 @ 8.38% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.341 -0.34)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.315 -0.32)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 41.63%

How you voted: Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao

Getafe
29.2%
Draw
32.1%
Athletic Bilbao
38.7%
137
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Getafe
Berchiche (6'), Williams (62')
Paredes (2'), Guruzeta (58'), Alvarez (90+2'), Garcia (90+6'), Williams (90+6')
Sancet (45+1')
Alvarez (51'), Latasa (83')
Suarez (7'), Angileri (83'), Rodriguez (90+1'), Dakonam (90+4'), Alderete (90+7'), Mata (90+10')
Bordalas (90+6')
Apr 1, 2023 3.15pm
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 10
Getafe
2-2
Athletic Bilbao
Alena (27'), El Haddadi (76')
Williams (2'), Garcia (62')
Mar 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Getafe
Berchiche (29')
Vesga (79'), de Marcos (88'), Petxarroman (90+3'), Alvarez (90+6')
Unal (3')
Mitrovic (25'), Unal (32'), Dakonam (86'), Mata (90+3'), Suarez (90+7')
Cuenca (65'), Jankto (90')
Dec 6, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Getafe
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Dakonam (15'), Mata (90+5')
Flores (90+5')
Morcillo (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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