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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leicester logo

Watford
1 - 2
Leicester

Dennis (63')
Porteous (75'), Hoedt (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Daka (11' pen.), Pereira (55')
Winks (37'), Nelson (45+5'), Vardy (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Watford 1-3 Leicester City

Having being outclassed against the second-placed team in the division on Tuesday, Watford would ideally not want to be facing the leaders next. Although a competitive encounter could ensue, Leicester should have enough quality in the final third to come through with the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
WatfordDrawLeicester City
34.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.27% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 42.44% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 63.69% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (0.1 0.1)37.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.99% (0.107 0.11)60% (-0.108 -0.11)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.045000000000002 0.05)22.09% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (0.065999999999995 0.07)55.45% (-0.067 -0.07)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.051000000000002 0.05)18.24% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.71% (0.087000000000003 0.09)49.29% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Watford 34.28%
    Leicester City 42.44%
    Draw 23.27%
WatfordDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 6.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 34.28%
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.77% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31%
1-4 @ 2.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 42.44%

How you voted: Watford vs Leicester

Watford
16.2%
Draw
13.2%
Leicester City
70.6%
68
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Leicester
2-0
Watford
Vardy (76', 90+5' pen.)
Ndidi (62'), Vardy (68')

Louza (30'), Ismael (31'), Porteous (54'), Chakvetadze (72'), Kayembe (75'), Bachmann (83'), Asprilla (90')
Bachmann (90+3')
May 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 37
Watford
1-5
Leicester
Pedro (6')
Maddison (18'), Vardy (22', 70'), Barnes (46', 86')
Tielemans (55')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
Leicester
4-1
Watford
Tielemans (7' pen.), Maddison (25'), Barnes (54'), Albrighton (85')
Daley-Campbell (36')
Pedro (27')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Maddison (16'), Vardy (34', 42'), Lookman (68')
King (30' pen.), Dennis (61')
Jun 20, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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