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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Southampton logo

Watford
1 - 1
Southampton

Healey (90+6')
Porteous (59'), Kone (61'), Hoedt (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adams (56')
Charles (34'), Armstrong (45'), Armstrong (87'), Fraser (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Watford
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-2 Southampton

With both teams very much in form, this is a tough match to predict. Watford are growing in confidence, particularly at home, but Southampton have scored a lot of late decisive goals this season and we feel that a similar outcome may materialise here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawSouthampton
45.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 23.41% (0.193 0.19) 30.98% (-0.24 -0.24)
Both teams to score 61.75% (-0.83900000000001 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.28% (-1.046 -1.05)39.72% (1.044 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.92% (-1.095 -1.1)62.07% (1.094 1.09)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.393 -0.39)17.75% (0.392 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.57% (-0.683 -0.68)48.43% (0.681 0.68)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.65899999999999 -0.66)24.92% (0.658 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (-0.921 -0.92)59.55% (0.919 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Watford 45.6%
    Southampton 30.98%
    Draw 23.41%
WatfordDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.272 0.27)
2-0 @ 6.61% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 45.6%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.15% (0.182 0.18)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.98%

How you voted: Watford vs Southampton

Watford
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Southampton
50.0%
24
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Southampton
1-2
Watford
Elyounoussi (45')
Perraud (48'), Romeu (65'), Bednarek (76')
Camilo Hernandez (14', 34')
Camilo Hernandez (60'), Sissoko (86')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
0-1
Southampton

Pedro (45+2'), Kucka (76')
Adams (20')
Salisu (55'), Ward-Prowse (58')
Jun 28, 2020 4.30pm
Nov 30, 2019 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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