Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 15, 2022 at 1.45am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
We said: Flamengo 2-0 Sao Paulo (Flamengo advance 5-1 on aggregate)
Sao Paulo have shown they are a resilient group, particularly in knockout stage matches, but Flamengo seem to have an answer for everything that their opponents may throw at them, and Mengao are a lot stingier defensively compared to Goianiense, so it is hard to foresee Tricolor Paulista pulling off a victory by two or more goals.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.
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