MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 23:04:27| >> :60:208:208:
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Barcelona
2 - 2
Cerro Porteno

Corozo (57'), Bauman (87' pen.)
Diaz (7'), Pineida (45'), Sosa (48'), Ortiz (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bobadilla (2'), Aquino (43' pen.)
Churin (28'), Viera (33'), Patino (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Barcelona SC and Cerro Porteno, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona SC

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Last Game: Palmeiras 4-2 Barcelona
Thursday, June 8 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Cerro Porteno

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Last Game: Bolivar 2-0 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, June 7 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
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We said: Barcelona SC 1-2 Cerro Porteno

 Neither team enters Friday's contest with strong form under their belts, but they will be motivated to claim all three points in Guayaquil and continue their continental journey in the Copa Sudamericana. Cerro Portano got the better of Barcelona in April, and they may just have the edge to claim another victory and leapfrog their opponents into third spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Barcelona SCDrawCerro Porteno
39.92% (0.071000000000005 0.07) 27.05% (-0.107 -0.11) 33.04% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.35% (0.343 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.1% (0.429 0.43)54.89% (-0.428 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.82% (0.354 0.35)76.18% (-0.351 -0.35)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (0.23999999999999 0.24)26.93% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.74% (0.313 0.31)62.26% (-0.312 -0.31)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (0.246 0.25)31.1% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (0.283 0.28)67.42% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona SC 39.91%
    Cerro Porteno 33.04%
    Draw 27.04%
Barcelona SCDrawCerro Porteno
1-0 @ 10.98% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.68% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 39.91%
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.37% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.78% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.04%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Cerro Porteno

Barcelona SC
76.9%
Draw
0.0%
Cerro Porteno
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Cerro Porteno
2-1
Barcelona
Aquino (28' pen.), Churin (73')
Ortiz (70')
Feb 26, 2020 10.15pm
Third Stage
Cerro Porteno
0-4
Barcelona

Benitez (13'), Amorebieta (42'), Churin (68')
Amorebieta (56')
Martinez (34'), Martinez (66', 82'), Diaz (73')
Marques (60'), Alvez (68'), Castillo (81')
Feb 20, 2020 12.30am
Third Stage
Barcelona
1-0
Cerro Porteno
Martinez (25')
Pinatares (44'), Aimar (44'), Pineida (53'), Diaz (84')

Ruiz (45'), Camilo Saiz (50'), Benitez (53'), Arzamendia (61'), Caceres (84')
rhs 2.0
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