Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Talleres2 - 1Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Talleres and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Talleres 1-0 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, March 31 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, March 31 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
Result | ||
Talleres | Draw | Sao Paulo |
36.74% ( 0.05) | 28.03% ( 0.05) | 35.22% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 47.69% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.63% ( -0.18) | 58.37% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.02% ( -0.14) | 78.98% ( 0.14) |
Talleres Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.54% ( -0.06) | 30.46% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.33% ( -0.07) | 66.66% ( 0.06) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.58% ( -0.16) | 31.42% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.21% ( -0.18) | 67.79% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Talleres 36.74%
Sao Paulo 35.22%
Draw 28.03%
Talleres | Draw | Sao Paulo |
1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 36.74% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.22% |
How you voted: Talleres vs Sao Paulo
Talleres
57.1%Draw
42.9%Sao Paulo
0.0%7
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-28 08:42:30
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1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
11 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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