Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 21, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stade Robert Diochon
Rouen win 12-11 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Rouen 0-2 Toulouse
With Rouen having recently impressed either side of the Christmas and New Year period, this will not be a routine win for Toulouse. Nevertheless, we expect the visitors to run out victors in the end, potentially with a goal in each half.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 68.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Rouen had a probability of 13.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Rouen win it was 2-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result |
Rouen | Draw | Toulouse |
13.49% ( 0.28) | 18.19% ( 0.12) | 68.32% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 53.8% ( 0.41) |
62.06% ( 0.13) | 37.94% ( -0.13) |
39.8% ( 0.14) | 60.19% ( -0.14) |
59.86% ( 0.5) | 40.13% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.22% ( 0.45) | 76.78% ( -0.45) |
89.87% ( -0.06) | 10.13% ( 0.06) |