MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 09:32:00| >> :600:472534:472534:
Potential new EFL Cup header

EFL Cup
Bournemouth logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Everton logo

Bournemouth
4 - 1
Everton

Lowe (7'), Stanislas (47'), Marcondes (78'), Anthony (82')
Anthony (73'), Pearson (84'), Stephens (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gray (67')
Gordon (44'), Mina (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Bournemouth and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Leeds 4-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League

Everton

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Everton 0-2 Leicester
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Bournemouth 1-1 Everton (Everton to win on penalties)

 Neither Bournemouth nor Everton have truly covered themselves in glory in recent weeks, and a plethora of changes can be expected as both sides prioritise their league fortunes. Calvert-Lewin's injury will not help the Toffees on the attacking front either, and it would not be a surprise to see this third-round tie go all the way to penalties, where the visitors' recent successes from 12 yards should help them to a fourth-round appearance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawEverton
41.74% (0.026999999999994 0.03) 25.72% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 32.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.42% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.4% (0.014000000000003 0.01)49.61% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)71.63% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02)23.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (0.027999999999999 0.03)57.64% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)28.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)64.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 41.74%
    Everton 32.54%
    Draw 25.72%
BournemouthDrawEverton
1-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.54%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Everton

Bournemouth
41.4%
Draw
21.9%
Everton
36.7%
128
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2020 4pm
Everton
1-3
Bournemouth
Kean (41')
Keane (79')
King (13' pen.), Solanke (45+1'), Stanislas (80')
> Match Report
Sep 15, 2019 2pm
Bournemouth
3-1
Everton
> Match Report
Jan 13, 2019 2.15pm
Everton
2-0
Bournemouth
Zouma (61'), Calvert-Lewin (90')
Bernard (38'), Keane (65'), Gomes (66'), Zouma (66'), Richarlison (84')
> Match Report
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Everton
King (75' pen.), Ake (79')
Smith (62')
Walcott (56'), Keane (66')
Sigurdsson (55'), Tosun (70'), Gueye (81')
de Andrade (41')
> Match Report
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Bournemouth
2-1
Everton
Fraser (33', 89')
Gueye (57')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!