Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.