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Charlton Athletic
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
Brighton logo

Charlton
0 - 0
Brighton


Leaburn (34')
FT
Charlton win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Charlton Athletic and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Thursday, December 8 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton may be a little rusty, having only just reassembled their full squad, but an abundance of top-tier quality is available to ambitious boss De Zerbi. Eager to continue making his mark at the South Coast club, the highly-regarded Italian will surely take Wednesday's tie seriously, which bodes ill for a Charlton side in some disarray. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
31.81% (1.065 1.07) 23.99% (0.473 0.47) 44.2% (-1.536 -1.54)
Both teams to score 60.1% (-1.146 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (-1.743 -1.74)42.07% (1.744 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-1.771 -1.77)64.47% (1.772 1.77)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-0.19 -0.19)25.56% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (-0.264 -0.26)60.43% (0.265 0.27)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-1.33 -1.33)19.26% (1.331 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (-2.239 -2.24)50.98% (2.24 2.24)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 31.81%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 44.2%
    Draw 23.99%
Charlton AthleticDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 6.72% (0.477 0.48)
2-0 @ 4.58% (0.301 0.3)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.126 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.81%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.375 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.292 0.29)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 44.2%

How you voted: Charlton vs Brighton

Charlton Athletic
17.1%
Draw
3.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion
78.9%
76
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Charlton
1-1
Brighton
Sarr (82')
Gross (47')
Apr 23, 2016 3pm
Dec 5, 2015 3pm
Brighton
3-2
Charlton
Wilson (50'), Zamora (83'), Hemed (84')
Calderon (45'), Stephens (75'), March (90')
Lookman (2'), Ghoochannejhad (6')
Cousins (44'), Henderson (45'), Fox (90'), Solly (91')
Bauer (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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