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Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Leicester logo

Newcastle
2 - 0
Leicester

Burn (60'), Joelinton (72')
Longstaff (37'), Burn (38'), Botman (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (62'), Ndidi (67')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Dan Burn and Joelinton guide Newcastle United to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Leicester City, which secures their passage to the EFL Cup semi-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
45.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 29.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 56.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)45.66% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (0.023 0.02)67.98% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (0.016000000000005 0.02)19.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (0.021999999999998 0.02)52.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (0.012 0.01)28.81% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.34% (0.013999999999996 0.01)64.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 45.91%
    Leicester City 29.55%
    Draw 24.53%
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 45.91%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.55%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Leicester

Newcastle United
68.4%
Draw
12.3%
Leicester City
19.3%
187
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Apr 17, 2022 2.15pm
Newcastle
2-1
Leicester
Guimaraes (30', 90+5')
Krafth (84'), Guimaraes (90+5')
Lookman (19')
Amartey (1'), Mendy (90+6')
Dec 12, 2021 2pm
Leicester
4-0
Newcastle
Tielemans (38' pen., 81'), Daka (57'), Maddison (85')
Castagne (11'), Soyuncu (64')

Lewis (24'), Manquillo (70'), Saint-Maximin (90')
May 7, 2021 8pm
Leicester
2-4
Newcastle
Albrighton (80'), Iheanacho (87')
Iheanacho (72')
Willock (22'), Dummett (34'), Wilson (64', 73')
Krafth (56')
Jan 3, 2021 2.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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