MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 10:35:34| >> :600:476349:476349:
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. James' Park
Bournemouth logo

Newcastle
1 - 0
Bournemouth

Smith (67' og.)
Trippier (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cook (47')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United reach the EFL Cup quarter-finals after a 1-0 win over Bournemouth.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, December 17 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Everton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
58.62% (-3.634 -3.63) 21.09% (0.227 0.23) 20.29% (3.408 3.41)
Both teams to score 58.61% (5.724 5.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.18% (4.474 4.47)38.82% (-4.471 -4.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.86% (4.56 4.56)61.13% (-4.558 -4.56)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (0.34699999999999 0.35)12.99% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.49% (0.701 0.7)39.51% (-0.7 -0.7)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (6.335 6.34)32.64% (-6.334 -6.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (6.514 6.51)69.18% (-6.513 -6.51)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 58.62%
    Bournemouth 20.29%
    Draw 21.09%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-1.709 -1.71)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-1.816 -1.82)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-1.076 -1.08)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.621 0.62)
4-1 @ 3.43% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.07% (-0.502 -0.5)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.337 0.34)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 58.62%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.852 0.85)
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.957 -0.96)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.417 0.42)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.775 0.78)
0-1 @ 4.75% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.35 0.35)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.595 0.6)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.564 0.56)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.267 0.27)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 20.29%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

Newcastle United
73.9%
Draw
11.6%
Bournemouth
14.5%
138
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
King (48' pen., 81')
Lerma (19'), Ibe (45'), Daniels (83')
Rondon (45'), Ritchie (94')
Perez (9'), Hayden (75')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Newcastle
2-1
Bournemouth
Rondon (7', 40')
Schar (45'), Rondon (90')
Lerma (45')
Cook (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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