Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Derby County and Lincoln City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Carlisle
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Lincoln City |
55.39% ( -1.97) | 24.24% ( 1.09) | 20.37% ( 0.89) |
Both teams to score 48.53% ( -1.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.74% ( -3.21) | 52.26% ( 3.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.04% ( -2.83) | 73.96% ( 2.84) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.25% ( -1.9) | 18.75% ( 1.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.86% ( -3.28) | 50.14% ( 3.28) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.73% ( -0.9) | 40.27% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.11% ( -0.82) | 76.9% ( 0.83) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County 55.38%
Lincoln City 20.37%
Draw 24.23%
Derby County | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.82) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.45) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.34) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.19) Other @ 3.1% Total : 55.38% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.48) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.92) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.29% Total : 20.37% |
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-21 09:11:33
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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