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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PEC Zwolle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PEC Zwolle.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
37.73% ( 0.27) | 24.38% ( 0.18) | 37.89% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 60.04% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.28% ( -0.85) | 42.72% ( 0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.87% ( -0.85) | 65.13% ( 0.85) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% ( -0.24) | 22.56% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.85% ( -0.37) | 56.15% ( 0.37) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% ( -0.6) | 22.47% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.98% ( -0.9) | 56.02% ( 0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.73% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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