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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | Vitesse |
34.62% ( 3.27) | 24.78% ( 1.62) | 40.6% ( -4.88) |
Both teams to score 58.25% ( -4.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.1% ( -6.58) | 44.9% ( 6.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.75% ( -6.65) | 67.26% ( 6.66) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.76% ( -1.22) | 25.25% ( 1.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.01% ( -1.72) | 60% ( 1.73) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.92% ( -4.84) | 22.08% ( 4.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.56% ( -7.89) | 55.44% ( 7.9) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.57) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 1.77) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 1.07) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.42) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.62% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 1.21) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.49) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 1.44) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.42) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 1.14) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.94) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.55) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.78) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.69) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.44) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.53) Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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