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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion

AZ
4 - 1
Almere City

Pavlidis (7', 90+2'), de Wit (66'), Moller Wolfe (80')
Moller Wolfe (88'), Clasie (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mbe Soh (56')
van Bruggen (23'), Jacobs (64'), Resink (73'), Kitala (81'), Floranus (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Nijmegen
Wednesday, December 6 at 6pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Almere City
Friday, December 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Almere City

AZ Alkmaar hit a bump in the road last time out, but we can see them serving up an immediate response with a comfortable win this time around, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 80.65%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 6.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.73%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawAlmere City
80.65% (-0.155 -0.16) 12.99% (0.131 0.13) 6.37% (0.0261 0.03)
Both teams to score 43.42% (-0.39 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.12% (-0.57199999999999 -0.57)35.88% (0.575 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.03% (-0.634 -0.63)57.97% (0.637 0.64)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.11% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)6.89% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.68% (-0.408 -0.41)25.33% (0.412 0.41)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.63% (-0.342 -0.34)53.37% (0.344 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.12% (-0.216 -0.22)86.88% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 80.64%
    Almere City 6.37%
    Draw 12.99%
AZ AlkmaarDrawAlmere City
2-0 @ 13.15% (0.16 0.16)
3-0 @ 11.73% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.199 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 7.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.93% (-0.073 -0.07)
5-0 @ 4.2% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.64% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.87% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.039 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 80.64%
1-1 @ 6.18% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 2.59% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 12.99%
0-1 @ 2.31% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 6.37%

How you voted: AZ vs Almere City

AZ Alkmaar
100%
Draw
0.0%
Almere City
0.0%
16
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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