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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 73.34%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heerenveen |
73.34% ( -0.01) | 16.02% ( 0) | 10.64% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.36% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.85% ( 0) | 35.15% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.84% ( 0) | 57.16% ( -0) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.74% ( -0) | 8.26% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.15% ( -0) | 28.85% ( 0) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.07% ( 0.01) | 42.93% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.77% ( 0.01) | 79.23% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.17% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.75% 4-0 @ 5.72% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.85% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 2.04% 6-0 @ 1.19% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.02% 6-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.9% Total : 73.33% | 1-1 @ 7.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.55% 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.02% | 1-2 @ 3.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3% 0-2 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 10.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |