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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
AZ Alkmaar

FC Twente
2 - 1
AZ

Ugalde (42', 70')
Eiting (66'), Taha (86'), Propper (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Odgaard (4')
Martins Indi (65'), Bazoer (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 2-2 FC Twente
Sunday, December 17 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 AZ
Saturday, January 6 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: FC Twente 2-2 AZ Alkmaar

Goals have been a real feature of this fixture, and we are anticipating another entertaining affair here. That said, we are backing the sides to cancel each other and settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Twente in this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
46.3% (-0.42 -0.42) 23.79% (0.296 0.3) 29.91% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 59.77% (-0.985 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94% (-1.327 -1.33)42.06% (1.323 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-1.345 -1.35)64.46% (1.342 1.34)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (-0.688 -0.69)18.38% (0.683 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.47% (-1.173 -1.17)49.52% (1.17 1.17)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (-0.587 -0.59)26.76% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96% (-0.778 -0.78)62.04% (0.77399999999999 0.77)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 46.3%
    AZ Alkmaar 29.91%
    Draw 23.78%
FC TwenteDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.309 0.31)
2-0 @ 7.06% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 46.3%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.286 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.49% (0.275 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.91%

How you voted: FC Twente vs AZ

FC Twente
52.9%
Draw
11.8%
AZ Alkmaar
35.3%
17
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 26
FC Twente
2-1
AZ
Ugalde (8', 11')
Karlsson (66')
Sep 11, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 6
AZ
1-1
FC Twente
Odgaard (54')
Ugalde (81')
Mar 13, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 23
AZ
0-1
FC Twente
Brenet (62')
Sadilek (38'), Propper (79')
Sep 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
FC Twente
3-1
AZ
Van Wolfswinkel (1'), Rots (17'), Limnios (90+1')
Propper (57')
Karlsson (44')
Martins Indi (39'), de Wit (51'), Gudmundsson (84'), Hatzidiakos (90')
Mar 13, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 26
AZ
4-1
FC Twente
Boadu (4'), Dumic (22' og.), Drommel (34' og.), Koopmeiners (78')
Martins Indi (43')
Gudmundsson (40' og.)
Dumic (36'), Zerrouki (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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