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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Emmen |
60.17% ( 4.24) | 21.92% ( -0.86) | 17.91% ( -3.38) |
Both teams to score 51.5% ( -2.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.82% ( -1.04) | 46.18% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.52% ( -0.99) | 68.48% ( 0.98) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.08% ( 1.05) | 14.92% ( -1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.7% ( 1.96) | 43.3% ( -1.97) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.53% ( -4.19) | 39.47% ( 4.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.84% ( -4.13) | 76.16% ( 4.13) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Emmen |
1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.87) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 1.17) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.96) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.56) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.25) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.49% Total : 60.16% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.54) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.92% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.77) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.51) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.36) Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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