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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.74%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Emmen |
52.74% ( 0.55) | 23.07% ( -0.04) | 24.19% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 57.2% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.8% ( -0.34) | 43.2% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.4% ( -0.34) | 65.6% ( 0.34) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.61% ( 0.07) | 16.39% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.97% ( 0.13) | 46.03% ( -0.13) |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.41% ( -0.61) | 31.59% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.01% ( -0.71) | 67.99% ( 0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Emmen |
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.74% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |