Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 58.01%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 21.05% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 0-1 (8.06%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
21.05% ( 0.01) | 20.94% | 58.01% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.41% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.98% ( 0.01) | 37.02% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.79% ( 0.02) | 59.21% ( -0.01) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.11% ( 0.02) | 30.89% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.82% ( 0.02) | 67.18% ( -0.02) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.41% ( 0) | 12.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.31% ( 0) | 38.69% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.75% Total : 21.05% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.94% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.35% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.78% 0-3 @ 5.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.98% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.51% 0-4 @ 2.99% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.06% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.24% Other @ 4.02% Total : 58.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |