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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 0-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
21.13% ( 0.26) | 21.45% ( -0.14) | 57.41% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 58.68% ( 0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.65% ( 1) | 39.34% ( -1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.32% ( 1.04) | 61.68% ( -1.03) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.86% ( 0.82) | 32.14% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.38% ( 0.92) | 68.62% ( -0.92) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.48% ( 0.29) | 13.52% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.42% ( 0.57) | 40.58% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 2.8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 21.13% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 6.59% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 5.8% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 57.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
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