MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 10:00:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Polman Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Heracles
5 - 0
AZ

De Keersmaecker (19'), Hornkamp (38' pen., 40' pen.), Sankoh (90', 90+4')
De Keersmaecker (15'), Hoogma (34')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Belic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Heracles
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Vitesse
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

Despite their poor run of form, Heracles have been showing the credentials to get something out of this contest. Nevertheless, AZ are also playing with the belief to edge a tight contest, and we expect that to materialise here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 0-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
21.13% (0.264 0.26) 21.45% (-0.139 -0.14) 57.41% (-0.126 -0.13)
Both teams to score 58.68% (0.901 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (0.997 1)39.34% (-0.998 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (1.035 1.04)61.68% (-1.034 -1.03)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.816 0.82)32.14% (-0.817 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.917 0.92)68.62% (-0.91800000000001 -0.92)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (0.291 0.29)13.52% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.42% (0.575 0.57)40.58% (-0.576 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 21.13%
    AZ Alkmaar 57.41%
    Draw 21.45%
HeraclesDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.6% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 4.93% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 2.8% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.12% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.06% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 21.13%
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.109 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.7% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.315 -0.32)
1-3 @ 6.59% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 5.8% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.112 0.11)
1-4 @ 3.29% (0.061 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.87% (0.076 0.08)
1-5 @ 1.32% (0.038 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 57.41%

How you voted: Heracles vs AZ

Heracles
19.6%
Draw
8.7%
AZ Alkmaar
71.7%
46
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
AZ
1-1
Heracles
Pavlidis (13')
Sadiq (87')
Ouahim (53')
De Keersmaecker (56'), Bakboord (82'), Vejinovic (89')
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
AZ
2-1
Heracles
Reijnders (25'), Pavlidis (48')
Sep 19, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
Heracles
3-2
AZ
Sierhuis (45+1'), Burgzorg (72'), Vloet (90+3')
Vloet (49'), Quagliata (50'), Burgzorg (50')
Gudmundsson (19'), Reijnders (89')
Midtsjo (90+2')
Clasie (45')
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
5-0
Heracles
Boadu (41', 74'), Karlsson (50', 57'), Wijndal (87')
Leeuwin (80'), Bizot (90')

Fadiga (58'), Knoester (76')
Nov 29, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 10
Heracles
1-2
AZ
Schoofs (75')
Bakis (69'), Quagliata (86')
Koopmeiners (41' pen.), Boadu (44')
De Wit (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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