MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 08:16:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Philips Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

PSV
5 - 1
AZ

Bakayoko (9'), de Jong (23', 53'), Veerman (80'), Uneken (90+1')
Teze (25'), Boscagli (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pavlidis (58')
Belic (13'), Mijnans (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 5-0 AZ
Wednesday, April 3 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 AZ Alkmaar

PSV will be full of confidence coming into this game having had such an excellent season, while AZ are sure to be in short supply having suffered a humiliating 5-0 defeat in their last outing, leading us to believe the league leaders will win this one. The two top scorers in the division are set to come face to face in this one, and we expect both to get on the scoresheet here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
53.61% (0.53599999999999 0.54) 22.43% (-0.192 -0.19) 23.96% (-0.342 -0.34)
Both teams to score 59.17% (0.27 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.53% (0.538 0.54)40.47% (-0.537 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.15% (0.55200000000001 0.55)62.85% (-0.552 -0.55)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (0.369 0.37)15.12% (-0.368 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.32% (0.693 0.69)43.68% (-0.693 -0.69)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (0.015999999999991 0.02)30.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (0.017000000000003 0.02)66.47% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 53.61%
    AZ Alkmaar 23.96%
    Draw 22.43%
PSV EindhovenDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.088 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.9% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.043 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 53.61%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 23.96%

How you voted: PSV vs AZ

PSV Eindhoven
94.4%
Draw
2.8%
AZ Alkmaar
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 16
AZ
0-4
PSV

van Bommel (45+1'), Goudmijn (77')
De Jong (9' pen., 57'), Saibari (11'), Dest (16')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
1-2
PSV
Karlsson (84' pen.)
Karlsson (35'), Clasie (57')
Simons (65', 90+8')
El Ghazi (35'), Benitez (79'), Veerman (90+3'), Simons (90+8')
El Ghazi (90+2')
Nov 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 14
PSV
0-1
AZ
Pavlidis (18')
Feb 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 19
PSV
1-2
AZ
Obispo (19')
Sangare (72'), Teze (74'), Gotze (90+1')
Martins Indi (40'), Karlsson (75')
Midtsjo (70'), Wijndal (72'), Hatzidiakos (72'), Sugawara (90')
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
AZ
0-3
PSV

Hatzidiakos (46'), Midtsjo (63')
Boscagli (14'), Vertessen (69'), Doan (83')
van Ginkel (20'), Obispo (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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