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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Waalwijk logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
NEC

RKC Waalwijk
2 - 0
Nijmegen

Min (7', 22' pen.)
Meijers (51'), Meijers (51'), Lelieveld (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nuytinck (63'), Sandler (67'), Proper (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-0 ADO Den Haag
Tuesday, February 6 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 NEC

RKC have been enduring an awful run of form recently, and we cannot imagine their fortunes changing against in-form opposition on Friday night. NEC will be full of confidence following their progression in the KNVB Beker, so we are expecting maximum points for the visitors at the Mandemakers Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for NEC had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.

Result
RKC WaalwijkDrawNEC
38.15% (0.151 0.15) 24.44% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03) 37.41% (-0.11600000000001 -0.12)
Both teams to score 59.84% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02% (0.17 0.17)42.99% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (0.166 0.17)65.39% (-0.166 -0.17)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.54% (0.15299999999999 0.15)22.46% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44% (0.229 0.23)56% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (0.016000000000005 0.02)22.84% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (0.021999999999998 0.02)56.56% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    RKC Waalwijk 38.15%
    NEC 37.41%
    Draw 24.44%
RKC WaalwijkDrawNEC
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 38.15%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.57% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 37.41%

How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Nijmegen

RKC Waalwijk
15.1%
Draw
7.5%
NEC
77.4%
53
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 3
Nijmegen
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Mattsson (23', 90'), Rober (90+5')
Hoedemakers (16')

Min (60'), Oukili (90+1')
Mar 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
Nijmegen
Anita (61')
Tannane (18', 31'), Tavsan (26')
Nov 13, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 14
Nijmegen
6-1
RKC Waalwijk
Dimata (38' pen.), Elkarouani (50'), Mattsson (73'), Marques (78', 90+2'), Tavsan (88')
Van den Buijs (4' pen.)
Feb 19, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Nijmegen
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Okita (88')
Odenthal (79'), Schone (90+1')
Van der Venne (18')
Buttner (71'), Touba (90+1'), Gaari (90+3')
Dec 5, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 14
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Nijmegen
Odgaard (28'), Kuijpers (90+3')
Augustijns (54'), Adewoye (62'), Azhil (90')
Bruijn (16')
Marquez (47'), Odenthal (65'), Verdonk (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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