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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
31.52% ( 0.06) | 23.65% ( 0) | 44.82% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 61.17% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.39% ( 0.01) | 40.6% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.01% ( 0.01) | 62.98% ( -0.02) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.97% ( 0.04) | 25.02% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.3% ( 0.06) | 59.69% ( -0.06) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.59% ( -0.02) | 18.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.43% ( -0.03) | 49.56% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.52% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.57% 1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 44.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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