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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Fortuna Sittard

Sparta
4 - 0
Sittard

Verschueren (28'), Lauritsen (58', 88'), Neghli (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, March 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 3-1 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard showed plenty of encouraging signs before the break, while their hosts struggled despite a creditable draw with Ajax last time out. Given the shifting momentum between the two mid-table teams, we anticipate Fortunezen coming out on top and stretching the gap on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawFortuna Sittard
42.93% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 25.36% (0.032 0.03) 31.71% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.3% (-0.151 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (-0.176 -0.18)48.33% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.53% (-0.161 -0.16)70.47% (0.166 0.17)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)22.45% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.02% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)55.98% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.164 -0.16)28.7% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)64.52% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 42.93%
    Fortuna Sittard 31.71%
    Draw 25.36%
Sparta RotterdamDrawFortuna Sittard
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.93%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.71%

How you voted: Sparta vs Sittard

Sparta Rotterdam
41.7%
Draw
31.3%
Fortuna Sittard
27.1%
48
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 17
Sittard
0-2
Sparta

Halilovic (50'), Rosier (90+4'), Peterson (90+3')
Mito (33'), Metinho (48')
van der Kust (37')
Feb 3, 2023 7pm
Oct 29, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 12
Sparta
3-1
Sittard
Verschueren (26', 83'), Van Crooij (54' pen.)
Noslin (19')
Apr 16, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Sittard
3-0
Sparta
Seuntjens (10'), Gladon (35', 77')
Seuntjens (27')

Okoye (11'), de Kamps (33'), van Crooij (83')
Sep 12, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 4
Sparta
3-1
Sittard
Smeets (21'), Thy (29'), Emegha (73')
Beugelsdijk (42'), Pinto (44')
Seuntjens (49')
Flemming (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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