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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
43.28% ( 0.04) | 24.59% ( -0) | 32.13% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 58.12% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.27% ( 0.02) | 44.72% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.91% ( 0.02) | 67.09% ( -0.02) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.24% ( 0.03) | 20.76% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.61% ( 0.04) | 53.39% ( -0.04) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.34% ( -0.02) | 26.66% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.1% ( -0.02) | 61.9% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.28% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
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