Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille3 - 1Shakhtar
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sudakov (12' pen.)
de Sousa Lemos (45'), Konoplya (45+2'), Matviyenko (58'), Stepanenko (80'), Rakitskiy (90+2')
de Sousa Lemos (45'), Konoplya (45+2'), Matviyenko (58'), Stepanenko (80'), Rakitskiy (90+2')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brest 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-2 Marseille
Thursday, February 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, February 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Marseille 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk (3-3 on aggregate a.e.t, Marseille to win on penalties)
Another reshuffle of the sporting staff is hardly helpful for a Marseille crop crying out for some sort of inspiration, which is unlikely to arrive in the shape of Gasset's short-term appointment, but the famed new manager bounce phenomenon could come to the fore either way. Les Olympiens remain a tough nut to crack on their own patch and can be expected to at least force extra time against a Shakhtar squad still lacking competitive match practice, and should penalties be required to decide the teams' fate, the Orange Velodrome crowd could make all the difference. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
47.26% ( -0.07) | 24.12% ( 0.02) | 28.62% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.76% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
