Even with Red Star Belgrade being far from their best in this year's group stage, the Turkish champions face a tough trip on Thursday for a game that is bound to be hotly contested given that the fight for second place is somewhat riding on this match.
The hosts may not be strong enough to see off their visitors, though, and we see the clash ending in a draw, despite the fact that Milojevic's side will likely need all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.
-0.19) 
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