Away from home, Monaco have shown tremendous poise and discipline defensively, and we do not anticipate they will be under duress often against a side that filter a lot of their attacks through Maxi Gomez.
In their last five home games, Trabzonspor have failed to find the back of the net on three occasions, and they could have their hands full against the in-form attack of Les Monegasques, who have not been shut out of an away contest since falling 1-0 to Strasbourg in March of last season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 24.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Trabzonspor win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
0.12) 
-0.07) 
