Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 5pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Finland4 - 0N. Ireland
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Finland 1-2 Kazakhstan
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Slovenia | 8 | 11 | 19 |
2 | Denmark | 8 | 10 | 19 |
3 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 3 | 15 |
4 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 12 |
5 | Northern Ireland | 8 | -2 | 6 |
6 | San Marino | 8 | -25 | 0 |
Last Game: N. Ireland 0-1 Slovenia
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Slovenia | 8 | 11 | 19 |
2 | Denmark | 8 | 10 | 19 |
3 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 3 | 15 |
4 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 12 |
5 | Northern Ireland | 8 | -2 | 6 |
6 | San Marino | 8 | -25 | 0 |
We said: Finland 3-1 Northern Ireland
O'Neil will be demanding that his players finally get over the line against opposition who they will not consider to be of any added quality to themselves. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Finland on home territory, leading us to predict a fairly comfortable win courtesy of goals during the final quarter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.
Result | ||
Finland | Draw | Northern Ireland |
41.67% ( -1.51) | 26.88% ( -0.15) | 31.46% ( 1.67) |
Both teams to score 50.38% ( 1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.37% ( 1.17) | 54.63% ( -1.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.03% ( 0.96) | 75.97% ( -0.96) |
Finland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.13% ( -0.25) | 25.87% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.16% ( -0.34) | 60.84% ( 0.35) |
Northern Ireland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.95% ( 1.82) | 32.05% ( -1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.49% ( 2.02) | 68.51% ( -2.01) |
Score Analysis |
Finland 41.66%
Northern Ireland 31.46%
Draw 26.87%
Finland | Draw | Northern Ireland |
1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.66% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.46% |
How you voted: Finland vs N. Ireland
Finland
76.6%Draw
15.6%Northern Ireland
7.8%77
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 11, 2015 5pm
Qualifiers
Finland
1-1
N. Ireland
Mar 29, 2015 5pm
Qualifiers
N. Ireland
2-1
Finland
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 54 | 13 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | Chelsea | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 51 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Luton vs. Everton - prediction, team news, lineups
2
Getafe vs. Athletic Bilbao - prediction, team news, lineups
3
This weekend's permutations: Who can be crowned champions, win promotion or suffer relegation?
4
How Chelsea could line up against West Ham United
5
Chelsea vs. West Ham - prediction, team news, lineups
6
Arsenal vs. Bournemouth injury, suspension list, predicted XIs
7
Premier League predictions gameweek 36: DAYTIME TV vs. Sports Mole
8
Man City's Phil Foden named FWA Footballer of the Year
9
Man Utd injury update vs. Palace - Fernandes, McTominay return dates
10
Juventus 'leading race for £40m Manchester United forward'
Sport News 24/7