Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Tehelne pole (Bratislava)
We said: Slovakia 0-2 Portugal
Neither Slovakia nor Portugal have proven easy to break down in the embryonic stages of qualifying, and the Selecao will face their toughest test yet in Bratislava, despite making hard work of their recent success over Iceland.
A distinct lack of firepower could prove to be the hosts' undoing, though, as Portugal make it five from five in style, likely with another clean sheet to add to the collection.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 48.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Slovakia win it was 1-0 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portugal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portugal.
| Result |
| Slovakia | Draw | Portugal |
24.93% ( 0.03) | 26.93% | 48.15% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.21% ( 0.03) |
