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Blackburn logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Birmingham logo

Blackburn
2 - 2
Birmingham

Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brereton Diaz (86'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Khadra (3')
Chong (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Preston
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Birmingham City

While Blues boosted their confidence with a win over Forest Green in the previous round, we cannot ignore their form at the second tier. Although Blackburn have been far from perfect themselves, they should have enough quality in their ranks to record a relatively comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
40.58% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 26.94% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 32.47% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.51% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39% (0.079000000000001 0.08)54.62% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05% (0.064999999999998 0.06)75.95% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.024000000000001 0.02)26.44% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)61.6% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66% (0.066000000000003 0.07)31.34% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3% (0.076999999999998 0.08)67.7% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 40.58%
    Birmingham City 32.47%
    Draw 26.93%
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.47%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Birmingham

Blackburn Rovers
71.4%
Draw
10.7%
Birmingham City
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Blackburn
5-2
Birmingham
Armstrong (27' pen., 71', 85'), Brereton (45+1'), Elliott (83')
Pedersen (22'), Jutkiewicz (50')
Leko (26'), Stirk (40'), Pedersen (67')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-2
Blackburn

Sanchez (85')
Armstrong (10'), Dack (90+1')
Travis (39'), Douglas (81'), Armstrong (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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