We said: Argentina 3-0 Australia
Considering the strength in depth within Argentina's squad and the lack of international experience within Australia's youthful group, the reigning world champions will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top on Thursday, with Messi and co expected to have plenty of joy in the final third.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 79.11%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Australia had a probability of 6.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.15%) and 3-0 (12.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for an Australia win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Argentina.
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