Friendlies 2
Mar 23, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Cibao
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nedd (33'), Searchwell (54'),
Bennett (81')
We said: Dominican Republic 2-1 Aruba
Aruba have enjoyed a decent run coming into this fixture, but the Dominican Republic will pose a greater threat compared to their last set of opponents.
The Dominican Republic are playing at a higher level and should pick up a win by the end of the final whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Aruba win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.
| Result |
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Aruba |
39.55% ( -0.28) | 23.6% ( 0.05) | 36.85% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 62.95% ( -0.17) |
| 61.07% ( -0.23) | 38.93% ( 0.23) |
| 38.75% ( -0.24) | 61.25% ( 0.24) |
| 79.99% ( -0.23) | 20.01% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.8% ( -0.37) | 52.2% ( 0.37) |
| 78.7% ( 0.01) | 21.3% ( -0.01) |
