MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 08:09:12| >> :60:99:99:
Ecuador national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Italy national football team

Ecuador
0 - 2
Italy

FT(HT: 0-1)
Pellegrini (3'), Barella (90+4')
Jorginho (38'), Zaniolo (66'), Mancini (73'), Cambiaso (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Ecuador and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Sunday's friendly fixture against Ecuador.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ecuador 2-0 Guatemala
Friday, March 22 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Italy

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Venezuela
Thursday, March 21 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1England81820
2Italy8714
3Ukraine8314
4North Macedonia8-108
5Malta8-180

We said: Ecuador 1-1 Italy

 While Italy are still a work in progress, they should possess enough guile to unlock Ecuador's increasingly mean defence - but La Tri can be expected to score too. With one eye on the summer, both managers may experiment during the second half, so a draw represents a decent result for either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Italy had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Italy win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
EcuadorDrawItaly
39.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 27.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 32.63% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)58.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.25% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)78.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28.67% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51% (0.016999999999996 0.02)64.49% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)33% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)69.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 39.49%
    Italy 32.63%
    Draw 27.86%
EcuadorDrawItaly
1-0 @ 11.81%
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.38% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 39.49%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 10.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 32.63%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Italy

Ecuador
19.7%
Draw
26.5%
Italy
53.8%
132
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!