MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 12:32:32| >> :60:122:122:
France national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Chile national football team

France
3 - 2
Chile

Fofana (18'), Kolo (25'), Giroud (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nunez (6'), Osorio (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between France and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how France could line up in their friendly against Chile at the Stade Velodrome on Tuesday night.

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: France 0-2 Germany
Saturday, March 23 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Chile

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Albania 0-3 Chile
Friday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: France 3-1 Chile

 France will be fully expectant of a win to make up for Saturday's defeat, even though Chile appear to be a side improving under new management. A fine attacking performance against an often resolute Albania was a big positive, and Chile should provide a threat but may come undone given the quality of the French. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Chile had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
FranceDrawChile
65.29% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02) 21.03% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 13.67% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.82% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.87% (0.055 0.05)50.12% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.91% (0.047999999999998 0.05)72.09% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.41% (0.012 0.01)14.59% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.33% (0.023000000000003 0.02)42.67% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.48% (0.069000000000003 0.07)47.51% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.12% (0.052 0.05)82.87% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    France 65.29%
    Chile 13.67%
    Draw 21.03%
FranceDrawChile
1-0 @ 13.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 8.24% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.97% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.53%
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 65.29%
1-1 @ 9.93% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.56% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 21.03%
0-1 @ 5.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.69% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 13.67%

How you voted: France vs Chile

France
79.7%
Draw
7.2%
Chile
13.0%
69
Head to Head
Jul 19, 1930 3.50pm
Group Stage
Chile
1-0
France
Subiabre (67')
rhs 2.0
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