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J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 12, 2023 at 5am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Kagawa (38'), Kato (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Honda (86')
Fujita (42'), Naganuma (49')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Cerezo
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
46.29% (0.157 0.16) 25.45% (-0.302 -0.3) 28.25% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 53.11% (1.05 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (1.322 1.32)50.31% (-1.323 -1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (1.161 1.16)72.26% (-1.163 -1.16)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.627 0.63)21.73% (-0.629 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1% (0.949 0.95)54.9% (-0.951 -0.95)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.803 0.8)32.14% (-0.804 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.901 0.9)68.62% (-0.90300000000001 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 46.29%
    Sagan Tosu 28.26%
    Draw 25.45%
Cerezo OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.117 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.077 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.035 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 46.29%
1-1 @ 12.1% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.381 -0.38)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.148 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.26%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 11am
Cerezo
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Suzuki (52'), Patric (90+3')
Matsuda (66')
Honda (82')
May 3, 2022 7am
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Cerezo
Fujita (83')
Tashiro (71')
Mendes (73' pen.)
Okuno (52')
Jul 24, 2021 11am
Sagan Tosu
3-3
Cerezo
Sakai (1'), Koyamatsu (8'), Higuchi (45+1')
Iino (51')
Kato (18', 69'), Sakamoto (87' pen.)
Matsuda (65'), Matsuda (90+5')
Apr 2, 2021 11am
Cerezo
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Okuno (46')

Sento (42'), Seok-Ho (55'), Dudu (81')
Seok-Ho (77')
Dec 16, 2020 10am
Cerezo
1-2
Sagan Tosu
Toyokawa (44')
Higuchi (22'), Alves (90+1')
Nakano (24'), Lopez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia15102325111432
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1592424111329
3Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers159242417729
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka157441411325
5Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus158161816225
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa157352520524
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo156542117423
8FC Tokyo156542624223
9Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1457225141122
10Kashiwa ReysolReysol145631616021
11Avispa Fukuoka154741316-319
12Tokyo Verdy153932023-318
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama134541818017
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki154472223-116
15Albirex Niigata154471823-516
16Jubilo Iwata154381922-315
17Sagan Tosu154292127-614
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare153572027-714
19Consadole SapporoConsadole152581328-1511
20Kyoto Sanga1523101129-189
> J1 League Full Table


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