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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Osauna logo

Almeria
0 - 1
Osasuna

FT(HT: 0-1)
Avila (28')
Garcia (5'), Gomez (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Almeria 1-1 Osasuna

Almeria have already beaten Sevilla at home this season, while they only narrowly lost to Real Madrid, so this has the potential to be a tough match for Osasuna. The visitors have made a strong start to the season, but we can see the points being shared in a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
AlmeriaDrawOsasuna
49.62% (1.683 1.68) 25.83% (-0.353 -0.35) 24.55% (-1.33 -1.33)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-0.168 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.71% (0.374 0.37)54.28% (-0.374 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.32% (0.312 0.31)75.68% (-0.312 -0.31)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (0.908 0.91)21.91% (-0.908 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.83% (1.359 1.36)55.17% (-1.358 -1.36)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.954 -0.95)37.32% (0.955 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.954 -0.95)74.11% (0.955 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 49.61%
    Osasuna 24.55%
    Draw 25.82%
AlmeriaDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 12.41% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.365 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.307 0.31)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.187 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.162 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.61%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 8.18% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.333 -0.33)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.273 -0.27)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 24.55%

How you voted: Almeria vs Osasuna

Almeria
29.8%
Draw
23.9%
Osasuna
46.3%
188
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2021 8pm
Almeria
0-0
Osasuna
Almeria win 5-4 on penalties

Fernandes (116')

Garcia (68'), Vidal (72'), Sanjurjo (119')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna

Saveljich (24'), Aguza (64'), de la Hoz (78'), Rioja (90')
Brandon (75')
Hernandez (34'), Brandon (88')
Sep 8, 2018 3pm
Osasuna
3-1
Almeria
Villar (14'), Castro (64' pen.), Barja (70')
Hernandez (38')
Gimenez (16')
Trujillo (60')
Feb 10, 2018 7pm
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna

Marreh (45'), Fernandez (75')
Rodriguez (50')
Lasso (54'), Merida (86'), Torres (86')
Sep 16, 2017 7pm
Osasuna
2-1
Almeria
Quique (70'), Coris (77')
Torro (54'), Sanjurjo (71'), Xisco (74')
Fidel (22')
Mandi (14'), Morcillo (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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