La Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 4, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Almeria0 - 2Villarreal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Almeria 1-0 Barcelona
Sunday, February 26 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, February 26 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Getafe
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Almeria 1-1 Villarreal
Almeria's home form has been so impressive this season, but Villarreal will be determined to prove that they are over their recent run of disappointing results. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away victory, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Villarreal |
31.11% ( 0.39) | 24.99% ( 0.32) | 43.91% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 56.3% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
