Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Villarreal |
30.39% ( -0.07) | 27.54% ( -0.02) | 42.07% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 48% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.54% ( 0.02) | 57.46% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.74% ( 0.02) | 78.26% ( -0.02) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.71% ( -0.03) | 34.29% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.01% ( -0.04) | 70.99% ( 0.03) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% ( 0.05) | 26.95% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.71% ( 0.07) | 62.29% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 30.39% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |