Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Sevilla |
40.32% ( -4.17) | 26.33% ( 0.11) | 33.35% ( 4.07) |
Both teams to score 52.69% ( 1.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.05% ( 0.95) | 51.94% ( -0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.31% ( 0.81) | 73.68% ( -0.81) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.65% ( -1.69) | 25.35% ( 1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.86% ( -2.37) | 60.14% ( 2.37) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.58% ( 3.3) | 29.42% ( -3.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.59% ( 3.86) | 65.41% ( -3.86) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.92) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -1.02) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.65) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.29) Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.32% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.7) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.75) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.53) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.28) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |