Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de La Albuera
Turegano0 - 4Celta Vigo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Girona 1-0 Celta Vigo
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Turegano 0-6 Celta Vigo
Despite Celta's woes domestically, there will not be too many bigger mismatches across the first round of action in this season's Copa del Rey. In their first-ever game in the competition proper, Turegano will hope to put up a respectable showing which they can be proud of, as keeping the score down and potentially finding an unlikely goal will be their aim going into this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 91.07%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Turegano had a probability of 2.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (11.74%) and 0-2 (11.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.15%), while for a Turegano win it was 1-0 (0.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Turegano | Draw | Celta Vigo |
2.3% ( -0.03) | 6.63% ( -0.03) | 91.07% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 36.48% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
