Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
32.89% ( 0.47) | 25.4% ( 0.02) | 41.71% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 55.61% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.88% ( 0.03) | 48.12% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.72% ( 0.03) | 70.28% ( -0.03) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.16% ( 0.32) | 27.83% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.57% ( 0.4) | 63.43% ( -0.4) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.06% ( -0.23) | 22.94% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.28% ( -0.33) | 56.71% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.89% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |