Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Real Sociedad |
35.86% ( 0.02) | 28.79% ( 0.01) | 35.35% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 45.48% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.91% ( -0.03) | 61.09% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.94% ( -0.02) | 81.06% ( 0.03) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.61% ( -0.01) | 32.39% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.09% ( -0.01) | 68.91% ( 0.01) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.27% ( -0.03) | 32.73% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% ( -0.04) | 69.29% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.86% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.78% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |