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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Reale Arena
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Sociedad
1 - 1
Atletico

Sadiq (55')
Zubimendi (28'), Cho (35'), Zubeldia (57'), Gorosabel (72'), Merino (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morata (5')
Niguez (12'), De Paul (24'), Llorente (35'), Simeone (45+6'), Morata (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Real Sociedad 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Real Sociedad have found it difficult against Atletico in their recent meetings, and we are struggling to back the hosts with any real confidence here. Atletico were strong in their last game against Valencia and should have enough to pick up another three points on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 36%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
34.49% (0.503 0.5) 29.51% (0.173 0.17) 36% (-0.676 -0.68)
Both teams to score 43.45% (-0.432 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.46% (-0.53899999999999 -0.54)63.54% (0.538 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.15% (-0.389 -0.39)82.85% (0.38799999999999 0.39)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41% (0.058000000000007 0.06)34.59% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68% (0.061 0.06)71.32% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (-0.72099999999999 -0.72)33.57% (0.72 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.78% (-0.795 -0.8)70.22% (0.79499999999999 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 34.48%
    Atletico Madrid 36%
    Draw 29.5%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.14% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 13.45% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.61% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.5%
0-1 @ 12.67%
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 36%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Atletico

Real Sociedad
18.5%
Draw
19.3%
Atletico Madrid
62.2%
135
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 9pm
Real Sociedad
1-2
Atletico
Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Real Sociedad
2-0
Atletico
Januzaj (33'), Sorloth (47')
Munoz (28'), Silva (59')

Hermoso (31'), Felipe (39'), Cunha (90+2')
Oct 24, 2021 8pm
Atletico
2-2
Real Sociedad
Suarez (61', 77' pen.)
Felipe (31')
Sorloth (7'), Isak (48')
Zaldua (41'), Elustondo (68'), Merino (76')
May 12, 2021 9pm
Dec 22, 2020 6.45pm
Real Sociedad
0-2
Atletico

Le Normand (29'), Elustondo (80'), Isak (86')
Hermoso (49'), Llorente (74')
Savic (16'), Hermoso (29'), Niguez (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia35139133739-248
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla361011154750-341
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Rayo Vallecano36814142944-1538
15Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
16Mallorca36715142941-1236
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz36614162549-2432
RGranada3649233770-3321
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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