Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.93%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Getafe |
46.93% ( 0.06) | 27.53% ( -0.01) | 25.54% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 45.1% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.29% ( 0.01) | 59.7% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.99% ( 0) | 80.01% ( -0) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.49% ( 0.03) | 25.5% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.65% ( 0.04) | 60.35% ( -0.04) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.54% ( -0.03) | 39.46% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.85% ( -0.03) | 76.15% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.93% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 25.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |