Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 33.88% and a draw has a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.66%).
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
39.5% ( 1.83) | 26.62% ( -0.77) | 33.88% ( -1.06) |
Both teams to score 51.86% ( 2.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.94% ( 2.94) | 53.06% ( -2.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.35% ( 2.44) | 74.64% ( -2.44) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.69% ( 2.43) | 26.3% ( -2.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.57% ( 3.14) | 61.43% ( -3.14) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.37% ( 0.78) | 29.63% ( -0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.33% ( 0.94) | 65.67% ( -0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.4) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.49% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.94) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.92) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.43) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |