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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Rayo Vallecano logo

Valladolid
0 - 1
Rayo Vallecano


Monchu (32'), Guardiola (45+3'), Guardiola (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Isi (65')
Camello (75'), Isi (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Valladolid 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

Real Valladolid have won four times in front of their own fans in the league this season, but they are difficult to back at the moment due to their recent form. Rayo are enjoying an impressive campaign, meanwhile, and we believe that the points will be shared on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawRayo Vallecano
35.73% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 26.6% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 37.67% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.19% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25% (0.080000000000005 0.08)52.75% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62% (0.068999999999999 0.07)74.38% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (0.094000000000008 0.09)28.33% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (0.117 0.12)64.06% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)62.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 35.73%
    Rayo Vallecano 37.67%
    Draw 26.6%
Real ValladolidDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.73%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 10.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.53% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 37.67%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Rayo Vallecano

Real Valladolid
35.0%
Draw
40.0%
Rayo Vallecano
25.0%
40
Head to Head
May 12, 2019 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Valladolid
Medran (73')
Moreno (69'), Pozo (76')
Unal (6' pen.), Guardiola (80')
Kiko (77'), Calero (86')
Jan 5, 2019 12pm
Mar 4, 2018 5pm
Valladolid
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Mata (48' pen.)
Anuar (33'), Borja (38'), Moyano (57'), Mata (72'), Calero (76')
De Tomas (55' pen.)
Velazquez (48'), Baiano (90')
Velazquez (70')
Oct 8, 2017 3pm
Rayo Vallecano
4-1
Valladolid
Embarba (8', 85'), Trejo (16'), De Tomas (41' pen.)
Trejo (24')
Plano (52')
Plano (34'), Salvador (37'), Villalibre (61'), Angel (65'), Michel (68')
Luismi (61')
Mar 22, 2014 7pm
Valladolid
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Castro (8' og.)
Rossi (8'), Mitrovic (28'), Valiente (50'), Rubio (66')
Bueno (45')
Bueno (10'), Niguez (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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