Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.62%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
23.9% | 25.66% | 50.44% |
Both teams to score 48.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.82% | 54.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.41% | 75.59% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.14% | 37.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.37% | 74.63% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.49% | 21.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.43% | 54.57% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 7.91% 2-1 @ 5.9% 2-0 @ 3.84% 3-1 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.9% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 12.51% 0-2 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-3 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 4.78% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-4 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.21% Total : 50.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |